Estimating the potential impact of HIV response disruptions

The recent decision by the US Government to pause foreign aid is having a profound impact on the HIV response. Modelling the impact of possibly temporarily or permanently discontinuing HIV response activities currently funded by the US Government is important to quantify the human cost of policy decisions for advocacy efforts and to support governments and communities in prioritizing and acting quickly to ensure continuity of life-saving services. UNAIDS and other partners have been releasing data on the projected impacts to help countries and partners take action. This note explains why there might be differences in the projected impact when using different models.

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